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Excess Mortality In England

saltycat

Published: 14 Jun 2023 › Updated: 14 Jun 2023Excess Mortality In England

Excess Mortality In England

Overall Excess Mortality

I aim to show, utilising a number of charts, where the excess mortality is occurring in England (and where it's not). In each chart where the bar is above line it indicates excess deaths.

Age

One striking feature of the excess mortality is that people are dying in all age groups.

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See above chart for 0-24. It would be helpful if this was broken down further to divide children from young adults.

Nonetheless, it clearly shows the frequency of deaths coming in above the line throughout 2022 and up to the present, indicating excess mortality in this young age bracket.

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Chart 25-49 reveals an even more profound picture.

Next is 50-64 and once again we see all the way through an excess in deaths in this age category.

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The picture is repeated in 65-85+ if not as strikingly. It is the case that more people in this age category died during Covid then did younger people, which could affect these figures.

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So we can see it is definitely affecting all age ranges, but noticeably affecting younger people disproportionately.

The Causes of Death

Let’s look at deaths across a range of categories.

Cardiovascular

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  • Ischaemic heart disease (also known as coronary heart disease)

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  • Cerebrovascular (Strokes)

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  • Heart Failure

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All the above show significant increases in excess mortality

Cancer

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There is some excess mortality but it is nowhere near the pronounced excesses in other categories. This may show the priority of the NHS which is playing catch up from Covid times.

Respiratory diseases

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These actually show much lower than expected deaths. If Covid was a factor then we would likely see excess mortality in this particular area seeing as it is a respiratory disease. However, it is quite the contrary.

Dementia/Parkinsons

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Less than normal, which is good news. It should be pointed out although that this is a disease associated with old age.

Liver

Figures show a big increase in excess mortality here.

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Common factor

So the charts reveal to us that excess mortality is occurring primarily in cardiovascular and liver disease. Do they have anything in common?

Heart failure is usually the result of diseases of the heart valves or of the heart muscle, the myocardium. Indicators are that the excess mortality in this area is being driven by heart muscle disease. What is driving the damage?

The charts above tell a story all by themselves. They require little interpretation from us, only observation. We can then further observe the practical silence in the news about this topic and why the question of excess mortality is occurring in heart diseases and liver diseases, but most worryingly is that it is occurring in large numbers among young, healthy adults and possibly children.

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