probability Tag Posts Index

Very Hard To Predict A Winner

source Earlier this evening the Champions League Quarter final draw took place and I saw this probability chart from OPTA. OPTA is a data driven statistic company

On A Balance Of Probabilities

Not every lion that chased an antelope caught it, but every lion who caught an antelope, chased it. Every catch started with a chase. If you saw an antelope running,

Finally Opening My 17 Conclave Arcana Legendary Packs

Should I Buy Conclave Arcana Packs? There has been a trauma or overhang about buying packs for those who started with the Chaos Legion Presale last October 2021

[PL/EN] Czytaj z Marcinem 1/2025 - "Chwiejnym krokiem : jak przypadki wpływają na nasz los" ('The Drunkard's Walk : How Randomness Rules Our Lives'), Leonard Mlodinow

Jakiś – nieco dłuższy – czas temu wypatrzyłem sobie w internecie książkę zatytułowaną „Matematyka niepewności”, z dopiskiem „Jak przypadki wpływają na nasz los”.

Pokemon TCG Japan More Card Reveals - Team Rocket's Hypno & Orbeetle

Hi there. Here are more Pokemon card reveals from Japan's upcoming Team Rocket Set.   Team Rocket's Blipbug & Dottler Team Rocket's Blipbug is a 60 HP Grass

High Probability > High Conviction

This post will probably be another play of words, although words themselves are the building blocks of how we frame our thinking. I think words are both underrated

Asteroids with 100% impact probability.

Asteroids with 100% impact probability. We have new data on asteroid 2024 YR4 and unfortunately, for now I am going to baptize it as the Grinch asteroid because

Strategic Brain

I'll admit that there's a fun element in strategic thinking, almost like an adventure, coming with this broad vision and the interconnecting links between different

Rising Star Game: Frustrated by Probabilities

I have been playing the Rising Star game on Hive for over 4 years This is the kind of idle game, and it does not include any period of extreme excitation like there

Best Way to Spend your Glint (Rarity Draws vs. Loot Chests) -- Part 2 (Addendum)

This is primarily a follow-up on my previous post which implied that Major chests give more value when it comes to gaining cards. After posting, I realized early

Best Way to Spend your Glint (Rarity Draws vs. Loot Chests)

Ever since the Glint Shop/Rewards has been introduced, I haven't spent much on my glint since most of my soulbound Chaos Legion reward cards have reached enough

The Monty Hall Problem: A Lesson in Probability

The Monty Hall problem is a classic probability puzzle that has been a source of fascination and debate for decades. Named after the host of the American television

Face your Fragility: Dealing with your projects weaknesses.

TLDR Summary: This post discusses the importance of facing and addressing the fragility of projects, emphasizing the value of feedback from others in improving and

A Quick Look At A Pachirisu Promo Pokemon Card From Japan

This is a short Pokemon TCG post. I feature a Pachirisu Promo Pokemon Card From Japan to be released on February 21, 2024 in Japan. The news is from Pokebeach.com.

Probability Of A Full House In Five Card Hand From 52 Card Deck

Probability Of A Full House In Five Card Hand From 52 Card Deck Hi there. This is a short probability post. I don't get into much probability these days as I prefer

A Probability Question Featuring A Six Sided Die

Hi there. This is a short probability post that is based on a question I received from a tutoring client. I thought my probability skills have went down over the

Tomb Raiding and Probability, Homeschooling Blog, Grade 7

Tomb Raiding When studying ancient archaeological sites, particularly burial sites, like the Lady of Cao, or the tomb of King Tut, our desire for knowledge and

The probability of impact of the asteroid 2023 DW is reduced.

The probability of impact of the asteroid 2023 DW is reduced. Image created by me in playgroundai Some time ago I made a publication about the 150 meter diameter

Factorials - sorting n distinct objects = n! proof

In this video I show a simple proof that you can sort n distinct objects in n! ways. This is very useful and important to understand especially if you are interested

The latest probability we are currently in a recession is 0.5% as of September.

This model creates a probability we are in a recession using four monthly coincident economic indicators: non-farm payroll employment, industrial production, real