My Only PIck for Tonight's UFC

• I cap mostly for fun. I currently have a negative ROI with my sports capping.

Belal Muhammad (2.500) vs Vicente Luque (1.571)

This is a rematch of a fight from several years ago where Luque KO Muhammad. Both have been fighting great lately and the first fight was long ago, but in all honesty, I don't know what has really changed. Belal's stand up has improved but Luque still has better stand up IMO. Muhammad will probably try to take this fight to the mat with a takedown, but I think Luque has better takedown defense than Wonderboy Thompson. If I'm correct with this assumption then this will be a stand up battle and to me that seems like a recipe for a repeat of what happened in the first meeting. My guess is Luque via TKO or decision.

My pick is the Vicente Luque moneyline.

Fight starts in a few mintues.