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Rheinmetall Outlook / Pullback 1600€?

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Published: 27 Jan 2026 › Updated: 27 Jan 2026Rheinmetall Outlook / Pullback 1600€?

Rheinmetall Outlook / Pullback 1600€?


Today, something for the bargain hunters. Rheinmetall, the darling of the German stock market, appears to be in a consolidation phase. A worthwhile target is waiting on the downside, specifically the €1600 mark. This was the starting point of a rally lasting several weeks and is therefore also a legitimate target.

On the daily chart, we are currently in a breakout to the downside. The lower mark at €1852 has been defended by the bears so far, which suggests further falling prices. For a short position, this would be my preferred stop-loss, and with €220 of potential on the downside, one even has a strong risk-reward ratio.

The bargain hunters could re-enter the story at €1600 and catapult the market upwards again, as this is a strong line of defense. The order backlog and the future of this company are fundamentally quite secure, so there is absolutely nothing arguing against further price increases.

This stock was a real performance story in 2025 and even before, as my savings plan started back then at €500 and ended at around €1500. A deeper consolidation would be desirable, but whether market participants will allow this remains to be seen. TKMS is another stock I have recently added to my portfolio, but more on that in another report.

Heute mal was für die Schnäppchenjäger. Rheinmetall der Liebling an der deutschen Börse scheint sich in einer Konsolidierung zu befinden. Auf der Unterseite wartet ein lohnenswerte Ziel und zwar die 1600 € Marke. Dies ist der Ausgangspunkt von einer Rallye auf Wochen Basis gewesen und somit auch ein legitimes Ziel.

Auf dem Tages Chart befinden wir uns derzeit in einem Ausbruch auf der Unterseite. Die untere Marke bei 1852 € wurde bisher verteidigt von den Bären und dies spricht für weiter fallende Preise. Für eine Shortposition wäre dies mein bevorzugter SL und mit 220 € Potenzial auf der Unterseite hat man sogar ein starkes CRV.

Die Schnäppchenjäger könnten sich bei 1600 € erneut in die Geschichte einklinken und den Markt wieder nach oben katapultieren, denn dies ist eine starke Verteidigungslinie. Die Auftragseingänge und die Zukunft von diesem Unternehmen sind fundamental ziemlich gesichert und von daher spricht absolut nichts gegen weiter steigende Preise.

Diese Aktie war im Jahr 2025 und noch davor eine richtige Performance Angelegenheit, denn mein Sparplan startete damals bei 500 € und endete bei rund 1500 €. Wünschenswert wäre eine tiefere Konsolidierung aber ob die Marktteilnehmer dies auch zulassen, steht noch in den Sternen. TKMS ist auch ein Wert, den ich neu hinzugenommen habe in mein Portfolio, aber hierzu mehr in einem anderen Bericht.

Project/Contract Name

Volume (Est. Value)

Relevant Timeframe for Execution

Key Details / Notes

Source

Link

1. Specific Known Orders/Contracts (Execution 2026/27)

Artillery ammunition for an Eastern European state

€274 million (additional order)

From 2026 until June 2027

Part of a total ~€444 million framework, with €170 million considered a pre-order.

Rheinmetall AG

Link

Large order for 155mm artillery ammunition (Rheinmetall Denel Munition, NATO state)

"Several hundred million €"

2025 to 2027

Largest order in the history of Rheinmetall Denel Munition.

Rheinmetall AG

Link

Contract for HERO loitering munition (Several NATO states)

Low three-digit million € range

Initial deliveries from Q1 2026, completion by end of 2027

Finanztrends

Link

2. Forecast & Order Pipeline (Cumulative Potential by 2026)

CEO Armin Papperger's total order intake forecast for 2026

Approx. €80 billion

Refers to potential international order intake by 2026

Sum of multiple tenders in the pipeline.

Investing.com

Link

Boxer wheeled armored vehicle programs

Approx. €37.7 billion

Part of the €80bn pipeline

Major component of the forecast.

Investing.com

Link

Frigates F126 / F127

Approx. €12-13 billion (combined)

Part of the €80bn pipeline

Stock World

Link

Additional Puma infantry fighting vehicles & ammunition orders

Billion € range (no precise figures)

Part of the €80bn pipeline

Stock World

Link

3. Production Capacity Target for 2027

Annual artillery shell production capacity target

1.5 million 155mm shells

Target by 2027

Indicates planned scaling of production, not a specific order.

Capital

Link

Important Limitations & Notes

General Data Limitation: Rheinmetall only reports selected major orders. Many contracts (especially smaller or confidential deals) are not individually published with exact year and value. The exact annual order intake for 2026/27 will only be disclosed retrospectively in financial reports. A complete, publicly available list of all individual 2026/27 orders does not exist.

Capital / IR Rheinmetall

Link, IR

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